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Reserving with Machine Learning: Innovations from Loyalty Programs to Insurance - 2019 AM Microlearning Videos

How is machine learning used for loyalty programs and what can it teach us about insurance claim reserving? While triangular methods have been a foundational tool for decades, individual claim reserving gives the actuary far more information about changes and trends in the liability. Yet the commonly used individual claim reserving techniques leave some of the most valuable data unexamined. In this session, we’ll cover the benefits of reserving at the individual claim level and describe an approach that sits at the intersection of data science and actuarial science. This session will also introduce a new actuarial tool – the snapshot date triangle – and demonstrate how it can be combined with machine learning to produce a robust and powerful individual claim reserving system. You will learn why the snapshot date triangle was originally developed for estimating loyalty program liabilities and how it can be used in insurance contexts.

CAS provides closed captioning generated by software applications for the convenience of viewers. CAS does not review for accuracy of the information that appears in a closed caption, and such information (including any foreign language translation and transcription displayed in a closed caption) may not be relied upon as an accurate or complete record of CAS programming. CAS makes no representations or warranties, and expressly disclaim any responsibility or liability with respect to, any errors or omissions in, or the accuracy, reliability, timeliness or completeness of, any information that appears in a closed caption.

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Introductions and Agenda

Presentation: Julie Hagerstrand, Pong Woo, Len Llaguno, 2 min 5 sec

Why Loyalty Programs?

Presentation: Julie Hagerstrand, 1 min 40 sec

Why Individual Claims?

Presentation: Julie Hagerstrand, Pong Woo, 5 min 21 sec

Examples of Reserving with Machine Learning

Presentation: Pong Woo, 5 min 10 sec

Introduction to the Snapshot Date Triangle

Presentation: Julie Hagerstrand, 10 min 1 sec

Analysis of Simulated Data

Presentation: Len Llaguno, 15 min 48 sec

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