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Superforecasting Webinar

2017 Webinar Recording - Superforecasting - May 2

The popular book "Superforecasting" describes people who produce unusually accurate forecasts of future event probabilities, the methods they use, and the science of forecasting evaluation. This webinar will continue the discussion of these ideas from the 2016 CAS Annual meeting session on the book. This webinar will provide an overview of the ideas from the book, look at actuarial and business applications, and discuss the CAS Superforecasting Working Party.

Speakers: MaryPat Campbell, FSA, MAAA, Vice President, Insurance Research, Conning; Stephan Christiansen, FCAS, MAAA