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(CDR-4138) The Theory of Delay: Timing and Basis for Identifying and Measuring Delay

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Level: Advanced
TCM Section(s):
6.4. Forensic Performance Assessment
10.1. Project Performance Assessment
Venue: 2023 AACE International Conference & Expo

Abstract: Following The Theory of Delay, published in 2020 [1], this paper presents corollaries and additional detailed discussion regarding the differences between delay as cause and delay as effect. The paper provides additional guidance on defining delay events, determining when they occur, and measuring their effects. The paper develops additional proofs for the theory of delay and continues to test delay analysis methods against that theory. The analysis methods and characteristics evaluated include observational v. modeled, static v. dynamic, and additive v. subtractive. Delay analysis methods are evaluated and compared for their coherence and for the consistency of their results under a variety of tests. Additional discussion is provided regarding determining the reasonableness of a schedule model, addressing challenges created by unreasonable models, and the robustness of the theory of delay in light of those challenges.