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(OWN-3727) Executability Modeling to Support Improved Federal Budgeting

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Level: Intermediate
TCM Section(s):
9.2. Progress and Performance Measurement
Venue: 2021 AACE International Conference & Expo

Abstract: The Offi
ce of Program Analysis and Evaluation (PA&E) within the National Nuclear Security Administration's (NNSA) is charged with leading programmatic cost estimating and associated analytical support throughout the federal budgeting process. Part of its support to NNSA leadership includes an assessment of individual program requests when resources are constrained, ensuring resources are allocated appropriately and that programs are ultimately neither overfunded nor underfunded.

To provide a more data-driven assessment, PA&E created an Executability Model. It analyzed prior NNSA budgets against actual execution profiles, identified and grouped programs which follow similar executability profiles, and defined health metrics when assessing proposed budget scenarios. The Executability Model will help inform overall NNSA budgeting decisions, enable the rapid analysis of various budget scenarios, and promote effective portfolio management.